Friday · USD · HIGH

US Non-Farm Payrolls

Payrolls drive the rates-growth narrative. Traders should read headline jobs together with unemployment, participation and average hourly earnings.

AI pre-release briefing

Payrolls drive the rates-growth narrative. Traders should read headline jobs together with unemployment, participation and average hourly earnings.

  • Strong jobs and wages: USD positive, gold negative, risk depends on yield shock.
  • Mixed headline: Expect whipsaw. Wait for wage and unemployment confirmation.
  • Weak labor report: USD offered, gold supported, equities may price easier policy.

Historical reaction map

Placeholder model for 5m, 15m and 60m post-release move windows.

EUR/USD

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GBP/USD

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XAU/USD

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