Gold should stay reactive to US yields and CPI. The cleaner bullish path is a soft inflation print or falling real yields; the bearish risk is a hot CPI with USD strength.

AI confidence72%

Bullish triggerSoft US CPI, lower real yields, DXY rejection.

Bearish riskHot CPI, front-end yields bid, risk-off dollar demand.

US CPI US Jobless Claims FOMC

EUR/USD

Range until macro breaks

EUR/USD needs either ECB conviction or a weaker dollar catalyst to escape the range. Until then, the pair is best treated as event-driven.

AI confidence64%

Bullish triggerECB hawkish hold plus softer US data.

Bearish riskDovish ECB language or hot US inflation.

German Ifo ECB US CPI

Execution partners

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